Akkam’s Razor

As stated, it appears Hillary is the winner (as declared by FOX - unsure whether that is the national network or local channel).

Sadly, all that talk of Pennsylvania’s primary finally meaning something really means that Indiana’s primary will finally mean something. It appears that Hillary’s win will likely result in a net-gain of a dozen or so delegates, still putting her behind Obama in total delegates.

The electoral math essentially remains unchanged. As Eli at Firedoglake mentions, Hillary is still 144 delegates behind (requiring 63% of the 566 remaining delegates to seize the nomination), and that her financial situation is precarious.

Some learnings from the chicken entrails exit polls:

From CNN via TPM:

• 58% of those who decided in the past week chose Clinton.
• 14% of Democratic voters were registered this year.
• 60% of newly registered Democrats voted for Obama.
• 92% of African-Americans voted for Obama.
• 61% of 65-and older voters chose Clinton.
• 55% of white males chose Clinton.
• Clinton also dominated the religious voters.

From Marc Ambinder at the Atlantic via Mark Nikolas at PoliticalBase:

Significant improvements over Ohio, especially among white men and seniors overall. In OH, for example, Clinton got 58% of white men, Obama got 39%. Exits now showing that Obama earned 45% in PA, and Clinton 55%. A 16 point gap narrowed to 10. With voters over 60 in OH, Clinton won 69%, Obama got 28%. In PA, Obama earned 41% of the vote among voters over 60, and Clinton won 59%. The gap among seniors was cut by more than half, from 41 to 19.

From Mark Bluementhal at Pollster:

• Philadelphia and its four surrounding counties, as defined by exit-pollsters, comprise 24.6% of the total Pennsylvania electorate.

From the AP via Pollster:

• 30% of Democratic voters were either members of a union or part of a union household.
• 40% of Democratic voters were gun owners.
• 75% of white voters who stated that race was a concern chose Clinton; For white voters where race wasn’t an issue, the split was 50/50.
• 80% of PA Democrats stated the country was in recession; Half of those PA Democrats (40%) stated that the US is in a severe recession; 10% of PA Democrats believe we are not in a recession.

What does it all mean? Who knows. I’m just waiting to see how this is somehow to blame for $120 oil.